I had hoped that I could move on from the COVID madness but like Michael Corleone: “Just when I thought I was out … they pull me back in.” VAERS and Fauci and CDC won’t let go.
In a fine article Steve Kirsch shows us that CDC is finally admitting, a little bit, that its own Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System under reports vaccine related AEs by a factor of 6.5. In so doing CDC fails to note that the Lazarus Report, a final grant report to the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality which was conducted, at the request of the FDA and CDC, to determine how VAERS data collection could be improved. Lazarus and his team concluded that VAERS was capturing only 1% of all vaccine related adverse events. In other words it was likely in Lazarus’ view that all the numbers in VAERS could be multiplied by 100.
Adverse events from drugs and vaccines are common, but underreported. Although 25% of ambulatory patients experience an adverse drug event, less than 0.3% of all adverse drug events and 1-13% of serious events are reported to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA).
Likewise, fewer than 1% of vaccine adverse events are reported. Low reporting rates preclude or slow the identification of “problem” drugs and vaccines that endanger public health. New surveillance methods for drug and vaccine adverse effects are needed. Barriers to reporting include a lack of clinician awareness, uncertainty about when and what to report, as well as the burdens of reporting: reporting is not part of clinicians’ usual workflow, takes time, and is duplicative. Proactive, spontaneous, automated adverse event reporting imbedded within EHRs and other information systems has the potential to speed the identification of problems with new drugs and more careful quantification of the risks of older drugs.
But Lazarus had something else to say in his report:
Unfortunately, there was never an opportunity to perform system performance assessments because the necessary CDC contacts were no longer available and the CDC consultants responsible for receiving data were no longer responsive to our multiple requests to proceed with testing and evaluation.
In short, when it was time to capitalize on Lazarus’ work and fix VAERS, CDC disappeared. Gone. Unavailable: “…no longer responseive to our multiple requests….”
The Lazarus was not a trivial exercise:
Preliminary data were collected from June 2006 through October 2009 on 715,000 patients, and 1.4 million doses (of 45 different vaccines) were given to 376,452 individuals. Of these doses, 35,570 possible reactions (2.6 percent of vaccinations) were identified. This is an average of 890 possible events, an average of 1.3 events per clinician, per month.
Lazarus tells us that 2.6% of the vaccinations resulted in a potential vaccine related AE. There is another way of looking at this data. Lazarus reported 35,570 possible reactions among 376,452 individuals. In other words, about 9.5% of all those who received a vaccination injection reported a possible adverse event.
No matter how you analyze this data the conclusion is inescapable - VAERS as it is currently structured is a poor tool for capturing the data it was built to capture. Knowing that the VAERS system was deeply flawed, what steps did the FDA and CDC take to fix it over the intervening 12 years before the mRNA thing called a vaccine was introduced and forced upon the world?
None.
But wait there’s more. As I wrote earlier, Jessica Rose, PhD also examined under reporting in VAERS and concluded that the data was grossly under reported and should be multiplied by a factor of 31 which she termed to be “a humble estimate”.
In his own analysis Steve Kirsch concludes that the Under Reporting Factor (URF) is likely to be 41.
Here is the array of published URFs
Lazarus Report 100
Steve Kirsch 41
Jessica Rose 31
CDC 6.5
VAERS: Death and the URF
VARES is reporting that between January 1, 2021 and January 21, 2022 there were 21,945 (world wide) reports of death following a SARS-CoV-2 injection. Of those deaths the most concerning are the 7,600 that occurred within 72 hours of an injection. Of those 7,600 deaths the most concerning are the 3004 that were reported to have occurred the day of injection.
Using the factors above this means that most likely range of total vaccine related deaths is somewhere between 142,643 (CDC) and 2,194,500 (Lazarus) and those that occurred on the day of an injection range between 19,526 (CDC) and 300,004 (Lazarus).
CDC on the Purpose of VAERS
The strengths of VAERS are that it is national in scope and can quickly provide an early warning of a safety problem with a vaccine. As part of CDC and FDA’s multi-system approach to post-licensure vaccine safety monitoring, VAERS is designed to rapidly detect unusual or unexpected patterns of adverse events, also known as “safety signals.” If a safety signal is found in VAERS, further studies can be done in safety systems such as the CDC’s Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) or the Clinical Immunization Safety Assessment (CISA) project. These systems do not have the same scientific limitations as VAERS, and can better assess health risks and possible connections between adverse events and a vaccine. (CDC.gov)
We have no idea how many doses of the mRNA inoculant have been given or how many of those who died after just one dose or more. But I do know this. The alarms are sounding and CDC has done nothing.
Even more concerning is that Pfizer, the largest manufacturer of the “novel” SARS-CoV-2 vaccine has just petitioned the FDA to approve a version for children under five years of age. And once again Pfizer is seeking this approval under the Emergency Use Authorization process.
But what is the emergency that is driving this request? Beats me. According to CDC’s own data children under 18 were never at risk from death due to COVID nor were they at much of a risk of even contracting it. And now we know that the vaccine is useless against the well established more infective but significantly milder Omicron variant. So why is Pfizer and its clones and competitors pushing to vaccinate children under five? Its simply really. Once Pfizer obtains that approval the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine — useless as it is and with its ever growing number of serious adverse events — will become a permanent member of the childhood vaccination program which will be forced on all of us. Forever.